Simply Economics

Tuesday, July 04, 2006

How the Forecasters Fared

here is a reprot card of the forecasters.

HOW THEY FARED

Economist Allen Sinai took the top rank among forecasters for the first half of 2006. See details in a related article.
Key
Forecasts from survey conducted June 9-26, 2006. Actual numbers as of June 2006.
GDP : Avg. Q1 2006
For: Avg. Q1 2006
Closest forecasts:
Gene Huang (4.7%)
David Lareah (4.7%)
CPI : May 2006
For: May 2006
Closest forecast:
Michael P. Niemira (4.3%)
Jobless Rate : May 2006
For: May 2006
Closest forecast:
James F. Smith (4.6%)
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Three-Month Treasury
Bill : June 30, 2006
For: June 30, 2006
Closest forecast:
Lou Crandall (5.00%)
J. Dewey Daane (5.00%)
D. Malpass/J. Ryding (5.00%)
10-Year Treasury
Note : June 30, 2006
For: June 30, 2006
Closest forecast:
Allen Sinai (5.14%)
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Dollar vs. Euro (in
dollars) : June 30, 2006
For: June 30, 2006
Closest forecast:
Nariman Behravesh (1.26)
John Silvia (1.26)
Allen Sinai (1.26)
Dollar vs. Yen :
IJune 30, 2006
For: June 30, 2006
Closest forecast:
Four-way tie (¥114)

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